It is Saturday afternoon after a hectic week. The work week featured meeting after meeting after meeting after meeting. The Thursday night game was picked but had to be tweeted as the full slate of picks were not ready to be posted by game time. I had no theme in place. Coffee was the only thing keeping my eyelids open. Coaching tee-ball with six year-old kids also had my energy teetering towards empty. Despite all these life events, my picks against the spread from last week had my spirits kicked up a notch. A 10-4 record for the week has my confidence higher than Jennifer Aniston’s Instagram follower total. While my week’s available bandwidth was quite limited, how could I structure my Week 7 NFL Picks to entertain you, while not having a ton of time to spew out too many words?
“You talking to me?” – Taxi Driver, 1976
Well, yeah, I mean… no one is there reading this over your shoulder, right?
“What we’ve got here is failure to communicate.” – Cool Hand Luke, 1967
Let me be clear. This week’s theme is famous movie quotes, specifically one-liners. Following that concept, I will present you with a famous one-liner in movie history (in most cases, at least), followed by one or two quick sentences (or stats) for the NFL game that the movie quote matches with. That’ll keep this post quick and to the point.
Well, what do you think?
Fine, let’s get moving. There are a lot of games to cover in a short amount of time. Yes, that does mean that KP’s Week 7 NFL Picks are finally in!
This week’s prognostication against the spread is based off the lines presented at CBS Sports.
KP’s “Don’t Quote Me on It” Week 7 NFL Picks
Kansas City Chiefs at Denver Broncos (+3.5)
“Frankly, my dear, I don’t give a damn.” – Gone With the Wind, 1939
The Broncos are playing better and have home field. Patrick Mahomes has been a bit hobbled with an ankle injury, leaving the Chiefs a shell of themselves offensively. As the quote goes, “I don’t give a damn”. The Broncos are still not getting a consistent pass rush. Therefore, CHIEFS cover.
Arizona Cardinals at New York Giants (-2.5)
“Oh, Jerry, don’t let’s ask for the moon. We have the stars.” – Now, Voyager, 1942
Evan Engram and Saquon Barkley are back for the Giants. For the Giants, “we have the stars” back. That will be key with home field, opening more doors for Daniel Jones to have success against a Cardinals defense that be scored on. GIANTS cover at home.
Los Angeles Rams at Atlanta Falcons (+3)
“All right, Mr. DeMille, I’m ready for my close-up.” – Sunset Blvd., 1950
Now with the Rams, Jalen Ramsey is ready for his close-up. He got the trade he wanted and L.A. gave up a lot to get him. A LOT. Sure, he won’t fix all the team’s problems, but adding a shutdown corner is a big deal. Atlanta, meanwhile, is a mess on defense. The potent Rams offense will take advantage of that, while Ramsey does what he does. RAMS cover on the road.
Houston Texans at Indianapolis Colts (-1)
“Houston, we have a problem.” – Apollo 13, 1995
That quote was too easy. What is the problem? Well, the Colts coming off a bye, for one. Despite that fact, Indianapolis will be without its top players in the secondary. That is the bigger problem, with DeAndre Hopkins looking to break out of a semi-slump. TEXANS have no problems… win in Indy.
Jacksonville Jaguars at Cincinnati Bengals (+3.5)
“I’m going to make him an offer he can’t refuse.” – The Godfather, 1972
That’s what the Rams did to the Jags, acquiring star CB Jalen Ramsey for two first round picks and a fourth rounder. That leaves a gaping hole in the Jacksonville secondary. The Bengals, meanwhile, can throw, but they can’t run (or win – yet). Cincinnati is fighting hard under Zac Taylor and my gut says this one is close throughout. Jags by three, therefore give me the BENGALS and the points.
Miami Dolphins at Buffalo Bills (-17)
“The stuff that dreams are made of.” – The Maltese Falcon, 1941
When you get the Dolphins on your schedule following a bye, that’s a bonus. When you get them twice in the regular reason, that’s “the stuff that dreams are made of”. Fitz-Magic is back in the starting QB spot for Miami, but that won’t be enough against a very potent Buffalo D. BILLS cover.
Minnesota Vikings at Detroit Lions (+0.5)
“You know how to whistle, don’t you, Steve? You just put your lips together and blow.” – To Have and Have Not, 1944
C’mon, man! Don’t bring up the whistles (refs) to the Lions right now. Detroit is still steaming. So much, in fact, that I think Detroit takes it out on Kirk and the Vikes. LIONS win at home.
Oakland Raiders at Green Bay Packers (-6.5)
“You can’t handle the truth!” A Few Good Men, 1992
The truth is the Packers are decimated with injuries in the passing game. Oakland is coming off a bye and has had extra time to prepare. I may regret this, but my gut says the Raiders keep this game close. Yes, even at Lambeau. Packers win, but give me the RAIDERS and the points.
San Francisco 49ers at Washington Redskins (+10)
“I’m as mad as hell, and I’m not going to take this anymore!” – Network, 1976
The headlines said it all from Kyle Shanahan, as he won’t hold back in this game and had few nice things to say about his time with the Redskins. 49ERS cover as this one gets ugly.
Los Angeles Chargers at Tennessee Titans (-1.5)
“Hasta la vista, baby.” Terminator 2: Judgment Day, 1991
The loser of this game falls to 2-5, which means it could be “hasta la vista” to the playoffs for that team. The Chargers are arguably the biggest disappointment in the league this season. Still, Ryan Tannehill takes over the starting job in Tennessee and the Titans have allowed a league-high 29 sacks. My gut says Joey Bosa feasts and the CHARGERS get a big road victory.
Baltimore Ravens at Seattle Seahawks (-3.5)
“You’re gonna need a bigger boat.” Jaws, 1975
If you want to stop Baltimore’s run game (192.2 ypg, 2nd in NFL), you’re going to need a bigger boat full of players. Seattle is solid against the run, but allowed a big performance from Nick Chubb. The Ravens play in nothing but close games and this will be no different. Give me the RAVENS and the points.
New Orleans Saints at Chicago Bears (-3)
“Fasten your seatbelts. It’s going to be a bumpy night.” – All About Eve, 1950
Alvin Kamara is out for the Saints. Allen Robinson will likely face Marshon Lattimore for the majority of the game. This is likely to be a lower scoring defensive battle. Kamara’s absence is the real key here, so give me the BEARS to cover at home, 14-10.
Philadelphia Eagles at Dallas Cowboys (-3)
“Mama always said life was like a box of chocolates. You never know what you’re gonna get.” – Forrest Gump, 1994
The Eagles are the box of chocolates. Big win at Lambeau, yet a flop in Minnesota. You can throw on Philadelphia, but the Dallas receivers are banged up. What are we going to get? We get the Eagles run defense shutting down Zeke and therefore give me the EAGLES on the road.
New England Patriots at New York Jets (+9.5)
“Say “hello” to my little friend!” – Scarface, 1983
The Pats have won seven straight against the Jets, five by double figures. Sam Darnold’s return sparked the Jets, but one can’t ignore the lack of success against the Patriots. The “little friend” in New England this year is not Tom Brady. It’s New England’s defense, which is playing on another level right now. The Jets hang for a half, but give me the PATRIOTS by ten on Monday night.
BYES: Pittsburgh Steelers | Cleveland Browns | Carolina Panthers | Tampa Bay Buccaneers
2019 NFL Season to Date (ATS)
Feel free to comment with either some of your picks or your favorite movie quotes of all time. As always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!
Archive: 2018 NFL Season (ATS)
Credits: Famous Movie Quotes via infoplease.com