We are nearly a week removed from Tiger’s Masters return and Scottie’s fourth win of the season (and first major victory). Now, the PGA TOUR shifts gears to Harbour Town and the RBC Heritage. This Pete Dye coastal course combines the potential for winds and the challenge of placement, with a heavy dose of quality approach game needed. That brings me to my PGA DFS 2022 RBC Heritage Sleepers, a list that outlines my favorite cheaper alternatives on DraftKings, as well as their longshot odds to win via DraftKings Sportsbook.
Obviously the term “SLEEPER” can be interpreted in a number of different ways. In this case, it’s the lower cost players that stand out in key statistical areas, specifically $7,300 or less on DraftKings and a longshot of +10000 or greater on DraftKings Sportsbook.
Before I present this week’s picks, a few notes on Harbour Town:
- For recent top finishers, Fantasy National outlines an emphasis on SG: Approach and SG: Putting
- Course history is key to review, as well as all Pete Dye courses, because there are similarities in the design (and the types of players that have success at each venue)
- The smaller greens mean an increased focus in statistical categories such as Opportunities Gained, Greens in Regulation, and Proximity
- Driving Distance is far from a factor this week, so no need to focus on bombers
- If you like to consider pairings, here is the current list of starting times for the opening two rounds of the tournament, as presented on Twitter by the PGA TOUR Communications account:
Pairings and starting times for the first and second rounds of the RBC Heritage pic.twitter.com/H8ccRAfHf7
— PGA TOUR Communications (@PGATOURComms) April 12, 2022
I ran multiple models on Fantasy National featuring my favorite statistical categories for the event. Based off that data, here are my favorite sleepers on DraftKings, accompanied by their current odds via DraftKings Sportsbook.
PGA DFS 2022 RBC Heritage Sleepers: Bargains on DraftKings
Patton Kizzire (DK: $7,100, WINNER +18000, Top 5 +3000, Top 10 +1400)
Kizzire posted a MC at the Valero a few weeks ago, but made the cut at his previous five events, including a top ten at Phoenix. He has gained strokes on approach in six straight events (and eight of nine). That will be key here. Over his last 24 rounds played (via Fantasy National), Kizzire ranks 5th in the field in SG: Approach, 14th in GIR Gained, 21st in SG: Tee to Green, and 20th in total strokes gained on Pete Dye courses. At this price point (and with these odds), he’s an intriguing option.
Sepp Straka (DK: $7,200, WINNER +13000, Top 5 +2000, Top 10 +900)
Straka is the one guy in this list that doesn’t pop with his recent approach game. He ranks 69th in the field in SG: Approach (last 24 rounds played). While I don’t expect a second win in his last five events, another top ten is a definite possibility. For one, he’s been great with the flat stick, ranking 6th in the field in SG: Putting over his last 24 rounds. He is also 3rd in the field in GIR Gained. Statistically, J.J. Spaun is also interesting in this slot, but I exhausted my luck with him a few weeks ago.
Russell Knox (DK: $7,300, WINNER +10000, Top 5 +1800, Top 10 +750)
Knox has made seven straight cuts heading into this week and that’s while losing strokes putting in six of those seven events. He gained strokes on approach in six of the seven events, too. Knox has two top ten finishes during this calendar year, including at THE PLAYERS and the Sony Open. Over his last 24 rounds played against the field (via Fantasy National), Knox ranks 16th in SG: Approach, 17th in SG: Tee to Green, 9th in GIR Gained, 16th in Proximity, and 8th in Good Drives Gained. If he even has a mediocre week putting, then expect a strong finish into the weekend.
Erik Van Rooyen (DK: $7,300, WINNER +10000, Top 5 +1800, Top 10 +750)
EVR is similar to Russell Knox when it comes to poor putting and strong approach game. Van Rooyen has lost strokes putting in six straight measured events. He has gained strokes on approach in six of his last seven measured events. That includes an incredible 11.3 strokes gained on approach at THE PLAYERS Championship. Over his last 24 rounds played (via Fantasy National), Van Rooyen ranks 8th in the field in SG: Approach and 7th in Proximity. He finished T21 at Harbour Town back in 2020. If he gets on a hot streak with his irons, watch out. Also, let’s not forget the next level ‘stache game!
Who do you have as your favorite PGA DFS 2022 RBC Heritage Sleepers? Chime in with your favorite plays in the comments section below.
Best of luck and as always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!
Image Credit: Erik Van Rooyen Twitter
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