It’s time for another season of prognostication on the links. When it comes to sleepers and finding long shots, I heavily rely on trends and data. That becomes quite tricky at the beginning of the season. Why? Well, for example, if you are running a model of the last 24 rounds, that is going to be taking into consideration rounds dating back to October and November of last year. A player’s game – like our waistlines during the holidays – can inflate quite a bit. They could also remain the same – so how do we know which one if said player wasn’t participating in the Sentry last week? So I tried to keep all this in mind when picking my 2025 Sony Open Sleepers and I’ll note some of these factors under each selection.

For this week’s picks, I’ll include the current odds (Winner, Top 5, and Top 10), plus their PGA DFS price on DraftKings and DraftKings Sportsbook. Obviously, these will vary from site to site.

2025 Sony Open Sleepers: DraftKings Plays and Odds

Ben Griffin (DK: $8,200, WINNER +5000, Top 5 +800, Top 10 +360)

Griffin played in the Sony Open each of the last two years, making the cut both times (T30 last year and T12 in 2023). He has had the most success putting on Bermuda greens. His last tournament was November 24th, a 15th place finish at the RSM Classic. He ended his season making four straight cuts (and eight of nine). He ranks well in a lot of key categories over the last 24 rounds played, via Fantasy National. This includes 15th in SG: Approach, 17th in SG: Putting Bermuda, 17th in SG: Par 4, 9th in total strokes gained, and 18th in total strokes gained at the Sony Open.

Harry Hall (DK: $8,100, WINNER +5000, Top 5 +800, Top 10 +400)

Over the last 24 rounds via Fantasy National, Hall ranks high in a number of key categories, including SG: Putting (6th), SG: Par 3 (3rd), Birdies or Better (4th), and SG: Total (7th). He finished 8th in the Sentry last week and has made 10 of 11 cuts dating back to June of last year. Over his last four tournaments, he has finished in the top fifteen and in the top ten twice. He’s made the cut in both appearances at the Sony Open, although his best finish was T28 in 2023. Still, he’s been on a steady trend and is a solid option to consider with these odds.

Matt Kuchar (DK: $7,200, WINNER +7500, Top 5 +1200, Top 10 +500)

Kuchar has two T7 finishes in his last three years at the Sony Open. The 46 year-old veteran has nine wins on the PGA TOUR and his last was in 2019 at… the Sony Open. So the course history is there and that helps with the model rank. His last tournament appearance was late November. But, statistically, he ranks 32nd in the field in SG: Putting (last 24 rounds) and 5th in SG: Putting on Bermuda greens. Kuchar also ranks 5th in SG: Approach and 15th in strokes gained on Par 4’s. His rankings versus the field are strong across the board, with the only exception being on Par 3’s. He’s an interesting play, whether you want to get crazy on a winning bet, go for a top ten, or use him as a bargain DFS option in your lineup.

Nicolas Echavarria (DK: $7,300, WINNER +9000, Top 5 +1400, Top 10 +650)

Echavarria is an interesting case. He’s had the most success on Bermuda greens and ranks 29th in the field on this surface. He’s 26th in SG: Putting over his last 24 rounds. He’s also 5th in total strokes gained and 1st in strokes gained on Par 3’s. These stats would include tournaments back to October and that includes his win at the ZOZO on October 27th. At the Sony Open, he’s played in each of the last two years, making the cut both times. Last year’s finish was nothing to be desired (T66), but he did finish T12 in 2023. Echavarria was also a not-so-exciting 32nd at the Sentry last week. But he ranks 20th in the field in Proximity and 6th in Birdies or Better. There’s a lot to like statistically, especially with these odds.

Other Players I Considered:

  • Lucas Glover: First in SG: Approach over last 24 rounds, but that dates back to September
  • Daniel Berger: T7 in 2021 and making his way back but Approach ranking is low over last 24 rounds
  • J.J. Spaun: Strong on Approach (2nd in field) but has missed cut here in four of last five

Who do you have as your favorite 2025 Sony Open Sleepers?

Chime in with your favorite picks below.  Either that or stop by to praise or poke fun at mine.

Best of luck and as always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!

All golf stats and data via PGATOUR.com and Fantasy National