It’s time for the third signature event of the 2025 PGA TOUR season. Only, there’s a slight wrinkle with this one. As most golf fans already know, this year’s Genesis Invitational will not be at Riviera. The tragic fires in Pacific Palisades caused this week’s tournament to be relocated. The landing spot was a familiar one – Torrey Pines. Just a few short weeks ago at the Farmers Insurance Open, we saw players struggling through brutal winds on the South Course. Harris English emerged victorious with a final score of just eight-under. We also saw a lot of WD’s at the opening of the Farmers. With the news already breaking of the Genesis shift to Torrey, it’s possible that some players preferred this week’s $20 million purse. I mean, who wouldn’t? So where does that land us with our 2025 Genesis Invitational sleepers? Again, it’s a signature event and therefore a much smaller field. Winds and rain are also currently anticipated for the opening two rounds.

So, with this tournament, I decided to run two different models for comparison (both via Fantasy National). One consisted of fifteen statistical categories – yes, I know that’s a lot. The second one was more simplified with mostly a focus on a number of SG categories. Here are the specifics of the two:

Model Categories for Torrey Pines

  • SG: Approach, Proximity, SG: Total, SG: Off the Tee, SG: Putting, Driving Distance, Par 4s 450-500 yards, SG: Around the Green, Three Putt Avoidance, SG: Putting 5-10 feet, SG: Putting Poa, SG: Par 5, SG: Total Windy Conditions, SG: Total Difficult Courses, and SG: Total Torrey Pines (all last 24 rounds)
  • SG: Approach, Proximity, SG: Total, SG: Off the Tee, SG: Putting, and SG: Around the Green

Like with my previous picks, I’ll include the current odds (Winner, Top 5, and Top 10), plus their PGA DFS price on DraftKings and DraftKings Sportsbook. Obviously, odds will vary from site to site. I should note if picking winners, Fanatics Sportsbook was better on sleepers, at least… as of today.

2025 Genesis Invitational Sleepers: DraftKings Plays and Odds

Russell Henley (DK: $8,600, WINNER +5000, Top 5 +750, Top 10 +320)

Henley is steady with his irons and typically great with his approach game. Recent form has been solid, with a T5 finish at the AT&T Pro-Am and a T10 finish at the Sony Open. Over his last 24 rounds played, Henley ranks 2nd in the field in SG: Par 4 450-500 yards. He’s also 7th in Proximity, 6th in SG: Total, 21st in SG: Approach, and even third in SG: Putting. He has also played well at difficult venues and ranked in the top five in both models that I ran on Fantasy National. Expect him to contend this week.

Wyndham Clark (DK: $7,300, WINNER +6000, Top 5 +900, Top 10 +400)

Clark is the outlier this week, at least when it comes to the guy that didn’t rank high on models. Still, there are reasons to like him with these odds. A lot of reasons. For one, he’s a star. Wyndham plays well at difficult venues and with strong fields. He had the lead at the WM Phoenix Open, only to fade some over the weekend. But his game is coming back, so it’s time to pounce before he has favorite odds. He putts best on Poa greens. He ranks 8th in the field in Driving Distance (this is a long course), is 19th in SG: Off the Tee, and has fared well with shorter putts from five to ten feet. He’s someone to keep an eye on.

Adam Scott (DK: $7,500, WINNER +6500, Top 5 +1000, Top 10 +400)

Oh, Adam Scott, the wily veteran. Here’s a guy that performs well in both difficult and windy conditions. Over the last 24 rounds (via Fantasy National), Scott ranks first in the field in SG: Total windy conditions. He’s also 5th in the field in strokes gained at Torrey Pines and 14th at difficult venues. In fact, of the fifteen category model that I listed above, Adam Scott ranks in the top 20 in nine of those categories. He’s a steady presence that seems to find his way onto leaderboards in tournaments such as this. He doesn’t have a top ten in any of this season’s tournaments, but there’s definitely one of those coming soon.

Daniel Berger (DK: $6,900, WINNER +8000, Top 5 +1100, Top 10 +450)

It’s been a long road back for Daniel Berger. The game is finally resurfacing despite injuries and some inconsistency. A T2 finish last week was definitely eye-opening. Still, 80:1 odds on DK Sportsbook, and I believe he’s 90:1 on Fanatics, as well. He ranks 1st in the field in both SG: Off the Tee and Par 4 450-500 yards – both key categories. He’s also 3rd in Proximity, which will be key with the smaller greens at Torrey Pines. He has also been putting quite well and ranks in the top ten in the field on Poa greens (last 24 rounds played). My gut says Berger will get back in the win column at some point this season.

Who do you have as your favorite 2025 Genesis Invitational Sleepers?

All golf stats and data via PGATOUR.com and Fantasy National

Chime in with your top picks for the week.  Thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!

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