This week’s Mayakoba Golf Classic is the final PGA TOUR event of the 2020 calendar year. That is music to the ears of many, considering how the year has gone (and how long it has felt). For golf fans, it’s a bit disappointing, but not too bad considering the season will continue in Hawaii by January. This leads me to my PGA DFS 2020 Mayakoba Sleepers, which will suggest cheaper DraftKings alternatives to include with the more expensive players.
With names like Justin Thomas, Brooks Koepka, Tony Finau and Daniel Berger in this week’s field, it will be equally as important to find some diamonds in the rough.
Oh, and obviously, the term “SLEEPER” can be interpreted in a number of different ways. In this case, it’s the lower cost players that stand out in key statistical areas, specifically the 6K Range on DraftKings.
Before I present this week’s sleepers, a few additional notes:
- The four most difficult holes at El Camaleon GC are all Par 4’s 450 yards or longer. Per Fantasy National, these four holes yielded a 10.2% birdie rate or less.
- The three Par 5’s play the easiest and therefore you can add focus on Par 5 efficiency as well as Birdies or Better Gained. Low scoring will be needed to win here.
- This Par 71 Greg Norman design is less than 7,000 yards in length, so there’s no need to focus on Driving Distance this week. Approach and play around the greens will be more important.
Now that we have that out of the way, this is no time for FORE-play at The Wife Hates Sports, but time to focus on a list of PGA DFS 2020 Mayakoba sleepers.
I ran a few models on Fantasy National featuring my favorite stats for the event (mostly covering the last 36 rounds played). Based off that data, here are my top 6K range sleepers on DraftKings:
PGA DFS 2020 Mayakoba Sleepers: Top 6K Range Plays on DraftKings
Jason Dufner (DK: $6,500 – Primary Model Rank: 18)
Dufner has missed four of five cuts, so the recent form isn’t there. That should drive down ownership. His last appearance here landed him a T21 finish. Dufner is 2nd in Proximity over the last 36 rounds and 23rd in SG: Approach. The rank on Par 5’s (100th in the field) isn’t great and neither is the Birdie or Better Gained mark (68th). But there’s enough statistically to consider him and If you are willing to take a chance, the risk could land you a big enough reward.
Cameron Percy (DK: $6,400 – Primary Model Rank: 19)
Percy finished T26 at the Bermuda a few tournaments back and posted an 8th place finish at Corales Puntacana back in late September. Translation: he fares well in these tropical climates. Statistically, Percy ranks well in a lot of my favorite statistical categories. That includes 5th in SG: Approach and 14th in GIR Gained. He is also 21st in Proximity. But if he wants to contend, he’ll need to perform better around the greens (100th in SG: Around the Green – last 36 rounds). Either that or pin seek all week.
Wesley Bryan (DK: $6,600 – Primary Model Rank: 26)
Bryan is 8th in SG: Approach over the last 36 rounds and 21st in Scrambling, a good combination. He also posts strong numbers in Proximity (32nd) and SG: Around the Green (31st). Like Dufner, his recent numbers aren’t great versus the field when it comes to Birdies or Better Gained (87th) and SG: Par 5 (109th). In the end, we’ll see where his game is, considering he’s only played in one of the last six tournaments (a MC at the Bermuda). Perhaps he’s worked out some of the kinks.
Brian Stuard (DK: $6,900 – Secondary Model Rank: 30)
It came down to Brendan Steele or Brian Stuard and I used Stuard’s recent form at this tournament (T23 last year, T8 in 2018) as the tiebreaker. On top of that, Stuard is 14th in the field in SG: Approach over the last 36 rounds played. He is also 30th in Proximity and 33rd in SG: Around the Green. With numerous hazards littering the course, a player will need to be accurate and strong with his short game.
Lower 7K Range Players to Consider (w/ Price and Model Rank)
- Doug Ghim ($7,400 – 11)
- Pat Perez ($7,300 – 20)
- Denny McCarthy ($7,400 – 21)
- Brice Garnett ($7,000 – 78, but has three finishes of T11 or better in last five at this course)
Previous Sleepers: 2020 Masters (by DraftKings 6K Range)
- Si Woo Kim – T34
- Sebastian Munoz – T19
- Lanto Griffin – MC
Masters Lower 7K Options: Cameron Champ (T19), Jason Kokrak (MC) and Lee Westwood (T38)
I skipped posting sleepers for the RSM Classic, although I was heavy on Kevin Kisner, who nearly pulled off the win. Painfully, he was my alternate OAD selection.
Who do you have as your favorite PGA DFS 2020 Mayakoba Sleepers on DraftKings? Chime in with your favorite plays below. Either that or stop by to praise or poke fun at mine.
Best of luck and as always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!
All stats and data via PGATour.com and Fantasy National