Grab a pimento cheese sandwich because the wait is finally over. Masters week is finally here! The unique Fall edition at Augusta will be interesting as always. While the views will be different (and painfully less crowded), the course conditions should mostly be the same. As always, winning at Augusta will require ice in your veins, a steady putting hand and much, much more. With the world’s best ready to go jacket hunting, the need to pick quality sleepers is a necessity. This leads me to my PGA DFS 2020 Masters Sleepers, which will suggest cheaper DraftKings alternatives to include with the top names.
Oh, and obviously, the term “SLEEPER” can be interpreted in a number of different ways. In this case, it’s the lower cost players that stand out in key statistical areas, specifically the 6K Range on DraftKings.
Before I present this week’s sleepers, a few additional notes:
- Sergio Garcia and Joaquin Niemann are the most recent players to test positive for COVID-19. Neither will be in the field this week, as a result.
- Taking advantage of the Par 5’s is always a big key to success at Augusta. That is especially important on Sunday, when nerves tend to take over.
- Augusta’s six Par 4’s of 450-500 yards cannot be taken lightly. Hole #11 – the opening hole at Amen Corner – was the toughest hole last year, with a bogey rate of over 30% (per Fantasy National). Holes #1, #10 and #18 also landed in the top five as far as difficulty.
- Rainy weather will continue this week, which means the course is likely to play longer than usual. Keep Driving Distance in mind when selecting your lineups.
- Those familiar with Augusta National will know that it’s not just the Off the Tee game that is important, but also strategic approaches. Undulations and tricky greens often come into play, leaving Approach game and Proximity to be important factors.
- Don’t forget that the field is smaller, so 6-for-6 lineups will be key here. If you narrow your picks down and need a tiebreaker, focus on course history and made cuts.
Now that we have that out of the way, this is no time for FORE-play at The Wife Hates Sports, but time to focus on a list of PGA DFS 2020 Masters sleepers.
I ran a few different models on Fantasy National featuring my favorite stats for the event. Most categories/ranks are for the last 36 rounds played. I did also run numbers against Augusta National for the last 24 rounds. This was tricky, so I ran a model with a heavier focus on Augusta National form and another that had a stronger weight towards ball striking (off the tee + approach). Because of the variation, I have decided to leave my model ranks off this week’s list.
Here are my top 6K range sleepers on DraftKings:
PGA DFS 2020 Masters Sleepers: Top 6K Range Plays on DraftKings
Si Woo Kim (DK: $6,800)
Despite missing the cut at last week’s Houston Open, the recent form is still there for Si Woo Kim, with a top ten at the Shriners and a T17 finish at the CJ Cup. He also has two straight top 25 finishes at The Masters. As mentioned, there are six Par 4’s 450-500 yards in length, where he ranks 2nd in the field (last 36 rounds played). His rank in SG: Putting is better on Bentgrass greens (41 vs 57), so that’s another positive. Finally, Si Woo Kim ranks 16th in SG: Off the Tee and 2nd in SG: Around the Green. When it comes to my favorite models, he ranks higher than any of the 6K range players in the field.
Sebastian Munoz (DK: $6,700)
Munoz is a bit of a wild-card, with a tendency to go on early hot streaks, only to fade by the weekend. Despite that possibility, there is a lot to like with him this week. Fuzzy Zoeller is the last first-time winner at Augusta (back in 1979) and this is Munoz’s first go at it. He has four straight made cuts, including a T14 at the ZOZO and a 9th place finish at the CJ Cup. While he is 70th in the field in SG: Putting on Bentgrass greens, he is 31st in three putt avoidance, a sign that he may not implode on Augusta’s treacherous greens. Munoz is also 10th in SG: Around the Green, another positive sign. Throw in the fact that he’s 12th in strokes gained on Par 4s 450-500 yards over the last 36 rounds, too.
For me, this is either going to be a brutal missed cut or a top ten. No in between. Let’s just hope the excessive rain doesn’t bring out his lack of distance off the tee (58th in the field).
Lanto Griffin (DK: $6,600)
The legend of Lanto in the 6K range lives! It’s hard to ignore when Griffin is priced this low, as he typically does well in these situations. That’s one reason why he made the list. Another first timer at Augusta, there is no course history to analyze. However, he has three straight made cuts, including a T11 at the ZOZO and a T7 at the CJ Cup. Griffin is also 12th in the field in SG: Approach, which is key on any course, but especially at Augusta. He ranks respectably (top 30) in SG: Putting on Bentgrass, SG: Par 5 and in Proximity. Overall though, I don’t feel like he’ll be phased by the history here.
Francesco Molinari (DK: $6,700) – He hasn’t played much in the States and if you are straight going off course history, Molinari is your guy. His last three years at Augusta: T5, T20, T33
Henrik Stenson (DK: 6,800) – Brutal off the tee (84th) and on Bentgrass greens (80th), but his history at Augusta is strong (4 cuts made in last 5 years, including T5 in 2018) and his SG: Approach (4th) is off-the-charts for someone at this price point.
Elite Lower 7K Players on DraftKings: Jason Kokrak, Cameron Champ and Lee Westwood
Last Week’s Sleepers: Houston Open (by DraftKings 6K Range)
- Will Gordon – T38
- Scott Stallings – MC
- Jhonattan Vegas – T44
- Charl Schwartzel – MC
Lower 7K Options Listed (Houston Open):
- Sam Burns – T7
- Sepp Straka – T5
- Charley Hoffman – T29
- Luke List – MC
I’ll take the two top tens from the lower 7K range players that I listed last week. Each helped me greatly in my lineups on DraftKings.
As for last week’s 6K range picks, it was a mixed bag.
With Augusta, it is a limited field, so we’ll see how this group performs. Either way, I’m beyond excited for the Fall version of The Masters. It should be a dandy.
Who do you have as your favorite PGA DFS 2020 Masters Sleepers on DraftKings? Chime in with your favorite plays below. Either that or stop by to praise or poke fun at mine.
Best of luck and as always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!