With just a few weeks until The Masters, the 2020-21 PGA TOUR season shifts to Port Royal GC for the Bermuda Championship. The travel and proximity to the major at Augusta appears to have kept most big names away, although there are a few intriguing players that come with higher price tags. That list includes the likes of Will Zalatoris, Harold Varner III, Emiliano Grillo, Henrik Stenson and defending champ Brendon Todd. This leads me to my PGA DFS 2020 Bermuda Sleepers, which will suggest cheap alternatives to couple with the top names.
In the case of a tournament with few stars, it also serves as an option to pick players that are likely to come with lower ownership percentages. The list of 6K guys are high risk, high reward.
Oh, and obviously, the term “SLEEPER” can be interpreted in a number of different ways. In this case, it’s the lower cost players that stand out in key statistical areas, specifically the 6K Range on DraftKings.
Before I present this week’s sleepers, a few additional notes:
- Driving Accuracy (Fairways Gained) is a solid stat to consider. While the rough isn’t thick, there will be wind, holes along the coast and a large number of bunkers. Driving accuracy numbers were below TOUR average last year at this course.
- There are eight short Par 4’s (400-450 yards in length), which will bring into play the wedge game. I ran some numbers checking how players perform at holes of this length.
- I checked comparisons between player performance on Bermuda greens as well as overall strokes gained putting (over the last 36 rounds)
- Higher winds are expected, so SG: Tee to Green game in windier conditions was something that I took a look at in my models
Now that we have that out of the way, this is no time for FORE-play at The Wife Hates Sports, but time to focus on a list of PGA DFS 2020 Bermuda sleepers.
I ran a few models on Fantasy National featuring my favorite stats for this event (last 36 rounds played for the field). Based off that data, here are my top 6K range sleepers on DraftKings:
PGA DFS 2020 Bermuda Sleepers: Top 6K Range Picks on DraftKings
Wes Roach (DK: $6,700 – Model Rank: 11)
Roach has only played in one of the last six events (a missed cut at Corales Puntacana). Despite that, he was T8 at this event last season. Statistically, Roach cracks the field’s top ten in Birdies or Better Gained over the last 36 rounds. He is also 26th in Fairways Gained and 24th in GIR Gained. His SG: Tee to Green rank is strong over the last 36 rounds (17th) and still solid in that category during recent rounds with windier conditions (39th). The struggle remains with his putting (95th in SG: Putting). If enough putts fall, he could make a strong run this week.
Josh Teater (DK: $6,400 – Model Rank: 13)
Teater is statistically a near match to Roach. One event played over the last six, which was a missed cut at Corales Puntacana. He also had a strong finish at the Bermuda Championship last year (T11). His SG: Putting numbers are ugly (117th over the last 36 rounds, 107th on Bermuda greens). Despite all that, he’s 15th in Fairways Gained, 20th in Birdies or Better Gained and 8th in GIR Gained.
Jamie Lovemark (DK: $6,300 – Model Rank: 29)
When it comes to the 6K range, the options are limited. I therefore decided to add two players with recent solid putting form (Lovemark and Seiffert) and two without (Roach and Teater). Lovemark has struggled with his accuracy off the tee (108th in Fairways Gained). Again, the rough isn’t brutal, it’s more the hazards. With that in mind, he’s 1st in Sand Saves Gained and 3rd in SG: Tee to Green (windier conditions – last 36 rounds). As for the aforementioned putting, he’s 33rd in SG: Putting and 30th in SG: Putting on Bermuda greens. Just proceed with caution and tamper your expectations as his last top ten was at the 2018 Honda Classic.
Chase Seiffert (DK: $6,600 – Model Rank: 32)
Seiffert is an interesting case. He has struggled to make birdies (81st in Birdie or Better Gained – last 36 rounds), but ranks well in a lot of key categories: Fairways Gained (35th), GIR Gained (25th), SG: Tee to Green (26th), SG: Putting (25th) and 17th in Scrambling. More importantly, his recent form has been the best in this group, including a T17 finish at Sanderson Farms and a T41 at Corales Puntacana. He also made the cut at last year’s Bermuda Championship.
Higher Model Ranks that were bypassed include: Johnson Wagner (24) and Vaughn Taylor (25)
Last Week’s Sleeper Picks: 2020 CJ Cup (By DraftKings 6K Range)
- Brendan Steele – T70
- Byeong Hun An – T35
- Jordan Spieth – T41
- Mackenzie Hughes – T41
It was a disappointment to have none of last week’s players crack the top 30. Despite these mediocre numbers, I fared well in Fantasy after playing Patrick Cantlay heavily, among others that landed at or near the top of the leaderboard. That list includes Justin Thomas, Ryan Palmer and Bubba Watson.
Who do you have as your favorite PGA DFS 2020 Bermuda Sleepers on DraftKings? Chime in with your favorite plays below. Either that or stop by to praise or poke fun at mine.
Best of luck and as always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!
All stats and data via PGATour.com and Fantasy National