Just two weeks into the 2020-21 PGA TOUR season and we already have a major on our plates. With the delayed 2020 US Open ready to unfold, it’s time to see if Winged Foot once again kicks the players “where the sun don’t shine”. From my end, I analyzed more stats than usual, considering both long and short term results in key areas. After running a handful of models on Fantasy National, the following players stuck out as my most intriguing PGA DFS 2020 US Open Sleepers.
Obviously, the term “SLEEPER” can be interpreted in a number of different ways. In this case, it’s the lower cost players that stand out in key statistical areas, specifically the 6K range on DraftKings.
So, this is no time for fore-play at The Wife Hates Sports, but instead the time to focus on a list of DFS 2020 US Open sleepers. I’m not expecting any trophies to be raised by these guys, but a top ten and some lineup flexibility is most certainly a strong possibility. Then again, who knows, right?
The models on Fantasy National feature my favorite statistical categories (all covering the last 50 and/or 24 rounds for players in the field, unless otherwise noted).
Here are my top 6K range sleepers this week:
PGA DFS 2020 US Open Sleepers: Top 6K Range Picks on DraftKings
Chez Reavie ($6,900)
Reavie posted a T3 finish at the Safeway Open last week and while that venue is nowhere near the challenge of Winged Foot, there are other reasons to consider playing him. Reavie is 6th in the field in Fairways Gained (last 50 rounds) and 1st for the last 24 rounds. Hit the fairways, avoid the brutal rough at Winged Foot. He’s also 4th in SG: Approach over the last 24 rounds and 6th in Proximity. He also cracks the top ten in Three Putt Avoidance (last 24 rounds), which will be key on these insane greens. For the cost, Chez Reavie checks a lot of boxes. Oh, and by the way, he finished T3 at last year’s US Open.
Corey Conners ($6,900)
Statistically, Conners doesn’t pop off the map as much as Reavie. However, he does have a T33 finish at the BMW (tough venue) and a T25 at The Northern Trust. His recent US Open history only includes a missed cut back in 2017. However, in the key stats, he’s 3rd in the field in Fairways Gained. Again, avoiding the thick rough is going to be key. He’s also top 25 in SG: Approach for the last 24 rounds and 12th in the field over the last 50 rounds played. He is strong in GIR gained (3rd over last 50 rounds), but not so much in Three Putt Avoidance (101st). So, he may hit a lot of greens, but still struggle to make pars. The key will be making enough pars. That’ll likely be the story for the majority of players in the field.
Jason Kokrak ($6,800)
I like Kokrak’s form when it comes to Proximity (8th over last 24 rounds) and Opportunities Gained (7th). He’s also 8th in GIR gained. The numbers aren’t as strong in Fairways Gained and Three Putt Avoidance, so he’s going to need a better than average performance off the tee this week. His putting has also not been great as of late, but he’s performed well on the more difficult courses. He also has three straight top 15 finishes that concluded with a T6 at the BMW a few weeks back. Finally, Kokrak has made his last two cuts at US Opens, although his best finish was a T37 back in 2016.
Ryan Palmer ($6,600)
When it comes to Palmer, the recent form is key. I compared stats from the Last 50 rounds to his last 24 rounds. For Palmer, let’s start with SG: Approach, where he improved from 35th in the field to 7th. In Three Putt Avoidance, he dropped from 106th to 38th. While everything can vary depending on the tournament and course, these are still positives. His Scrambling numbers dropped from 70th in the field to 19th. Palmer cracks the top 50 in DraftKings points on difficult courses, too. While he has failed to post an elite finish at a recent US Open, his performances over the last month have been steady. That includes making the TOUR Championship (T24) and cracking the top ten at the Northern Trust. For this price, he could help you afford top names, while still adding plenty of value.
Brian Harman ($6,400)
His approach game scares me (112th in the field over the last 24 rounds). However, Harman is 3rd in Three Putt Avoidance, 3rd in Scrambling and nearly landing in the top 25 in SG: Putting. Again, that’s all for the last 24 rounds. He also has a T2 finish at a US Open (back in 2017).
Previous Sleeper Picks: 2020 Safeway Open (By DraftKings 6K Range)
- Chris Baker – MC
- Graham DeLaet – MC
- Jason Dufner – T29
Who do you have as your favorite PGA DFS 2020 US Open Sleepers on DraftKings? Chime in with your favorite plays below. Either that or stop by to praise or poke fun at mine.
Best of luck and as always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!
Image Credit: Golf Digest (Brian Harman)