San Francisco and TPC Harding Park, here we come! Well, not really. At least, not the fans. As the PGA TOUR sets its sights on a first major since the restart, it’ll be a loaded field playing in cooler weather, thick rough and typical conditions that only a major can provide. Here is a list of 2020 PGA Championship DFS Plays and Fades in the form of a Honey Do list.
Not that kind of honey do list.
Let’s outline it in the form of a Honey Do List that doesn’t feature chores like taking out the trash, painting the bathroom or fixing the light fixture in the hallway.
There are key factors and course traits to consider when analyzing every slate. It all depends on where you want your focus to be. I’ll list out a few of my favorites, while also adding in some key picks or fades in each of these categories.
Pick and choose as you may.
It’s certain to be a list that THE WIFE will hate by the end of the weekend, especially if you’re stressing over the cut line on Friday evening or screaming at the TV on Sunday afternoon.
KP’s Honey Do List: 2020 PGA Championship Plays and Fades on DraftKings
DO Focus on Both Driving Distance and Accuracy
TPC Harding Park is a lengthy Par 70 that will throw a unique mix of both short and very long Par 4’s. There will be unique angles and deep rough to tackle. It’s what you would expect from a major. Therefore, a unique combination of length off the tee (Driving Distance) and accuracy (Fairways Gained, a Fantasy National stat) will be one key combination to consider. The stats to follow are based on his last 24 rounds by each player versus the field, via Fantasy National:
Plays by Driving Distance Only (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Bryson DeChambeau ($10,300 – 1st)
- Cameron Champ ($7,000 – 2nd)
- Dustin Johnson ($9,000 – 4th)
Fades by Driving Distance Only (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Webb Simpson ($9,700 – 83rd)
- Tiger Woods ($9,200 – 80th)
- Daniel Berger ($8,800 – 86th)
Plays by Driving Accuracy Only – Fairways Gained (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Brendon Todd ($7,400 – 2nd)
- Collin Morikawa ($8,600 – 5th)
- Matthew Fitzpatrick ($8,100 – 6th)
Fades by Driving Accuracy Only – Fairways Gained (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Tony Finau ($7,900 – 142nd)
- Brooks Koepka ($11,100 – 118th)
- Jordan Spieth ($7,700 – 116th)
Plays by Driving Distance and Fairways Gained (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Jon Rahm ($10,500 – 21st and 32nd)
- Xander Schauffele ($10,000 – 22nd and 33rd)
- Paul Casey ($7,500 – 39th and 18th)
Fades by Driving Distance and Fairways Gained (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Gary Woodland ($7,900 – 71st and 111th)
- Jason Day ($8,400 – 50th and 101st)
DO Focus on Par 4’s 450-500 yards
TPC Harding Park is a lengthy Par 70 that features a hefty number of long Par 4’s. Because of the few Par 5’s in play, it’s key to focus on Par 4 performance and see who excels at the longer Par 4’s. I ran a model on Fantasy National for the last 24 rounds to see who has recent top form on holes of this length:
Notable Plays by Par 4 450-500 yards (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Bubba Watson ($7,400 – 1st)
- Tony Finau ($7,900 – 2nd)
- Webb Simpson ($9,700 – 3rd)
Notable Fades by Par 4 450-500 yards (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Sungjae Im ($7,600 – 125th)
- Scottie Scheffler ($7,300 – 120th)
- Brooks Koepka ($11,100 – 109th)
DO Focus on Scrambling
Approach shots are arguably the most important stat to consider in big tournaments. Because of that being an obvious stat, that’s not the focus here. Instead, it’s being able to scramble when missing fairways or greens. Saving pars will be key this weekend. As with the above categories, here are the stats for the last 24 rounds via Fantasy National:
Notable Plays by Scrambling Gained (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Patrick Cantlay ($9,400 – 1st)
- Justin Thomas ($11,300 – 3rd)
- Jason Kokrak ($6,500 – 4th)
Notable Fades by Scrambling Gained (DraftKings Price – Rank):
- Bubba Watson ($7,400 – 138th)
- Brooks Koepka ($11,100 – 134th)
- Dustin Johnson ($9,000 – 111th)
Who do you have as your favorite plays for the PGA DFS PGA Championship? Who are you playing and who are you fading? How about for your favorite stats to consider?
Best of luck and as always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!