Last week’s only blemish at The Wife Hates Sports was taking the Browns against the Steelers in a rivalry game. Considering Cleveland became the Chubb-less Browns, well… that didn’t help the cause in what was already a bit of a risk considering a rivalry where Pittsburgh had home field. That game had a “must win” feeling for the Steelers, even if it wasn’t that in any way. But getting back to the picks, snagging the other four games was welcomed with an appreciative smile. It’s been a good start to the season – so much that the SportsChump is now picking against Penn State (my alma mater) just to rattle me. He thinks I’ll bite. The previous PSU – Iowa game is pure bulletin board material, accusing players of faking injuries, and being caught on camera (both fans and coaches alike). That’s more on classless Iowa fans. So, as we lock and load our Week 3 NFL Top Bets and Week 4 College Football hot picks, it’s time to remind you what we are doing here.
This is a season long contest with potential prizes to winners, so if you want to join in on the fun, drop a comment here at The Wife Hates Sports… or over at the land of the SportsChump. We take our top five games of the week against the spread. If you beat us and go undefeated, that could lead to something.
Here are our TOP FIVE Best Bets for the week, including my Week 3 NFL Top Bets and Week 4 College Football Best Bets.
The list is ranked in order of confidence, from 50 “points” down to 10. Please note that all of my lines are taken from DraftKings Sportsbook (I use them a ton – maybe some day they’ll notice).
Week 3 NFL Top Bets and CFB Picks – Straight Up Picks Edition
KP’s Picks: The Wife Hates Sports
$50: Buffalo Bills (-6.5) at Washington Commanders
In the “if it ain’t broke, don’t fix it” department, I’m looking to Josh Allen and the Bills to carry me with my top lock for the second straight week. Yes, the “Commander-skins” are 2-0, but that’s facing a Cardinals team that many think have a shot at the top pick and a Broncos squad that has yet to find its identity under new head coach Sean Payton. There’s plenty of talent on defense for Washington, but the weather could be sloppy, and I think that favors Josh Allen and a more seasoned offense, as compared to Sam Howell and Washington. There are positive signs to be found with Eric Bieniemy as OC in D.C., but I like the Bills with this line. Josh Allen will make enough big plays against this talented defense that isn’t a Kryptonite like the Jets are for him. Bills cover on the road.
$40: UAB Blazers at Georgia Bulldogs (-40.5)
A shade over two years ago, the Bulldogs beat UAB 56-7 at home. So while I’m a bit uneasy because of the spread, this is still the #1 team in the country and a defense that is only allowing 8.0 ppg through the opening weeks of the season. Also, UAB has allowed 90 points combined over its last two games facing Georgia Southern and Louisiana. Forty plus points or not, do we really need to say more? I mean, your eyes are just going to get tired reading the additional words. Georgia covers at home.
$30: New England Patriots (-2.5) at New York Jets
For some silly reason, this worries me – and that’s because the Patriots are struggling to open the season. Writing that also brings me a bit of joy. But while that’s a lot to unpack, we must also realize that while the Jets have a strong defense and plenty of weapons all over the field, they still have Zach Wilson running the offense. Through two games, Wilson has a QB rating of 53.3 with 2 TD and 4 INT. Bill Belichick may not have his most talented team, but he finds ways to make inconsistent QB’s uncomfortable – as in “atomic wedgie” uncomfortable. This pick comes down to Wilson not taking the next step, and less praise to Belichick. Patriots cover on the road.
$20: Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks (-5.5)
Seattle and the “12th Man” have already burned me once this season, and that’s not something you say all that often in recent years. While Carolina’s defense has been ferocious and competitive in stretches, the offense has been inconsistent. Rookie top pick Bryce Young is out due to injury, leaving “Red Rifle” QB Andy Dalton to take over the offense. Dalton’s QB rating with the Saints last season (95.2) was actually his best mark since 2015. Despite that, this is his first start with the Panthers. The weather forecast calls for a good chance for rain. Add in a raucous crowd and a balanced offense featuring Kenneth Walker III and DK Metcalf, and I’ll take Seattle by a TD. Seahawks cover at home.
$10: Colorado Buffaloes (+21) at Oregon Ducks
I feel like I should be more confident with this pick. I mean, it’s Deion, right? Coach Prime? There are 28,568 articles about the Buffs since the season started. That’s not an official number, just a fair guess. Autzen Stadium creates a unique experience, jam-packed with crowd noise. Colorado star Travis Hunter is out for a few weeks. But again, there’s some magic brewing in the land of the Rockies, am I right? It just feels like one of those situations where the Sanders family will find a way to keep this game interesting. It will likely come down to Colorado’s #2 ranked passing offense versus Oregon’s #16 ranked pass defense. It’s still early in the season, so it’s hard to rely on those ranks. Still, give me Coach Prime, Colorado and the points on the road.
Week 3 NFL Top Bets: SportsChump
$50 on Atlanta Falcons at Detroit Lions (-3)
Detroit lost a heartbreaker to Seattle last week on what many Lions fans will tell you was a blown holding call. Before we bury them for this loss, let us not forget this is the same Lions team that handled Kansas City in Week One. The Lions have been stewing about that Seattle loss since Sunday and look to take it out on the 2-0 Falcons. For some reason, this line is only three, I’m guessing because people think the 2-0 Falcons are better than they are. I’m not altogether convinced. No one before this season thought the Falcons would be worth a hill of beans (I still don’t) meanwhile most feel Detroit should contend for the playoffs and their division. Three points doesn’t seem like much to lay at all when the Lions can score at will and this Falcons defense hasn’t seen a team quite this talented. Give me the Lions to cover.
$40 on Carolina Panthers at Seattle Seahawks (-6)
Speaking of the Seahawks, they return home after stealing one in Detroit to host the Carolina Panthers. The Panthers are the worst team in a bad division. They’ve only scored 27 points in two games. Two other teams have scored 27 points in two games: the Bengals who normally score that in a half but are hurting more than their star quarterback’s calf and the Raiders who should be scoring more than that behind a veteran quarterback and solid starting running back. The Panthers don’t have those excuses. They’re exactly what we thought they were. They’re middle of the pack defensively and have yet to face an offense like Seattle’s which should open things up this weekend. This line is only six when it should be over a touchdown. Seattle’s offense warmed up to the tune of 37 points against Detroit. They’ll continue that against a Panthers team that is still trying to find its identity. Seahawks cover the six.
$30 on Iowa Hawkeyes (+14.5) at Penn State Nittany Lions
Sometimes life is about hooks. Sometimes life is about streaks. And sometimes life is about irking friends of a particular alma mater. Iowa travels to State College this weekend to face off against the Nittany Lions, alma mater of my arch-nemesis over at The Wife Hates Sports. The seventh-ranked Nittany Lions are 14 ½ point favorites against the Hawkeyes who, like the Nittany Lions, are undefeated and ranked. This is a rivalry of streaks, Iowa winning the last two, Penn State winning the six before that, and Iowa winning eight of the nine before that. Iowa’s offense has woken up this year, but their defense remains stout which is why, even at night, I’m taking the Hawkeyes. If this spread were 13 ½, I might not touch it but at three scores, with that half point and the opportunity to bet against KP, I’ll take it and run. Iowa covers, even in the white out.
$20 on UAB Blazers (+42) at Georgia Bulldogs
I’ll give you a dollar if you can name the head coach of UAB. Any clue? The head football coach of the University of Alabama-Birmingham Blazers is none other than Trent Dilfer. His team is 1-2 and not very good. This week they travel to Athens, Georgia to take on the top-ranked Bulldogs. ESPN is giving the Blazers a 1.4% chance of winning this ballgame, and that’s probably high. That’s okay, they don’t have to win. They just need to cover the whopping 42-point spread. Georgia has struggled (relatively speaking) on their quest for a three-peat. South Carolina gave them a scare last week. And while Georgia should easily manhandle UAB, Coach Dilfer might just have a few tricks up his sleeve. UAB can score. They’re averaging around 30 points per game, albeit against considerably lesser competition. Even if they score half that, Georgia will have to put up a healthy number to cover the number so I’m taking UAB in the hopes they’ll be able to put up some points and maybe even score a late touchdown for a back door cover. UAB +42.
$10 on Ohio State Buckeyes at Notre Dame Fighting Irish (+3)
Here’s my stab for the week. While the Ohio State Buckeyes seemingly compete for national championships year after year, this is Notre Dame’s first legitimate shot at a national title since 2018 when they lost to a Trevor Lawrence-led Clemson team that won it all. In other words, this is Notre Dame’s biggest game in five years. If they want to prove they belong in the conversation of the nation’s best teams, they’ll have to do so against the Buckeyes. This Saturday, they’re being given the opportunity: a home game, at night, in South Bend. They’re three-point underdogs. From what I’ve seen so far this season, the talent is there. Talent is always there in Columbus. With all due respect to Coach Prime, this is your game of the weekend. We’re about to find out whether the Irish are for real. I think they are. I’m taking Notre Dame and the three points.
Last Week’s Recap
- $50: Las Vegas Raiders at Buffalo Bills (-8.5) – CORRECT
- $40: Florida Atlantic Owls at Clemson Tigers (-24.5) – CORRECT
- $30: Penn State Nittany Lions (-14) at Illinois Fighting Illini – CORRECT
- $20: Cleveland Browns (-2.5) at Pittsburgh Steelers – INCORRECT
- $10: Chicago Bears at Tampa Bay Buccaneers (-2.5) – CORRECT
- Record: 4-1 ($110)
Season Stats for Kevin Paul and The Wife Hates Sports
- NFL: 4-3 ($40)
- College: 3-0 ($120)
- Overall: 7-3 ($160)
Chime in with your top picks for the week. Also, if you have interest in being a guest picker, let us know via the comments below. Thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!
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