This year’s AFC East features a very QB-heavy storyline. Josh Allen has his monster deal and looks poised to lead Buffalo back to the Super Bowl. Bill Belichick released Cam Newton and named rookie Mac Jones the starting quarterback in New England. The Jets have rookie Zach Wilson ready to kick off his career. Then, there’s Miami, a team that has Tua as its QB, but rumors of a Deshaun Watson deal keep surfacing. So, how do these quarterback headlines impact my 2021 AFC East Season Predictions?
A new NFL season means a few renewed traditions at The Wife Hates Sports. First and foremost, it’s THE WIFE releasing an ultra-heavy dose of eye rolls, as she knows the next chunk of months will see the weekends swallowed up by football (both college and pro). Secondly, it’s time for KP’s NFL season predictions, specifically piggybacking off the SportsChump and his annual Over/Under Contest, where you predict the upcoming regular season win totals of NFL teams (by confidence).
Only, this year will feature something new. While I will – and did – complete my top ten over/under win total bets for the 2021 season, I’ll also tackle every team’s record (by division).
Specifically, here are my 2021 AFC East Season Predictions – oh, and don’t forget that the upcoming year has been supersized to seventeen regular season games.
Team – 2021 O/U
- Buffalo Bills – 11
- New England Patriots – 9.5
- Miami Dolphins – 9.5
- New York Jets – 6
Above features the projections from Vegas, and here are my picks for the AFC East:
2021 AFC East Season Predictions: Over/Under Win Total Bets
Buffalo Bills – (11 wins – OVER)
Josh Allen has his big contract following a monster year. The Bills added veteran Emmanuel Sanders to a WR group that already includes Stefon Diggs and headline-grabber Cole Beasley. The defense remains stout and full of impact names. The schedule is front loaded, featuring the Steelers, Dolphins, Football Team, Chiefs, and Titans in five of the first six weeks. That doesn’t include a Week 14 visit to Tampa Bay and two games against Bill Belichick and the Patriots. Overall, this is a very deep roster that can make another playoff run. With the schedule as is, it’s possible to find twelve wins with this roster.
KP’s Prediction: 12-5 | Confidence: Medium
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New England Patriots – (9.5 wins – UNDER)
The Patriots were extremely aggressive during the offseason, adding a number of key names to fill gaps on both offense and defense. Nelson Agholor joins the group of receivers. Jonnu Smith and Hunter Henry are strong additions at the TE position. New England typically doesn’t have a deep WR group, but always had Tom Brady to make everyone better. Rookie QB Mac Jones won the starting job and Cam Newton has since been released. Jones really impressed in the preseason. Either way, with a rookie QB and some new faces on offense, there could be some stretches of inconsistency. Still, Bill Belichick still has plenty of tricks up his sleeve and a revamped roster that should be very strong defensively.
KP’s Prediction: 9-8 | Confidence: Low
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Miami Dolphins – (9.5 wins – UNDER)
Ten wins and a missed chance at the playoffs last season. There was the surprise benching of Ryan Fitzpatrick and some inconsistent play from Tua Tagovailoa. Will Fuller is an intriguing (and fast) addition to the offense, but he hasn’t played in more than 11 games in each of the last four years. I love Brian Flores as a coach – he’s one of the best in the league. Still, Miami’s schedule features four games between the Patriots and Bills, as well as road games at Las Vegas, Tampa Bay, and Tennessee. This is a solid roster and a playoff contender, but a team that may take a step back thanks to its division rivals improving. My gut says a similar win total is likely in 2021, but I won’t be shocked if Flores proves me wrong.
KP’s Prediction: 9-8 | Confidence: Low
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New York Jets – (6 wins – UNDER)
The Jets made changes to its O-Line, and also brought in Corey Davis to front a WR group that also features Jamison Crowder and Keelan Cole. Pretty boy Zach Wilson will get thrown right into it and we’ll see how he does. So far, there have been some positive signs during the preseason. New head coach Robert Saleh is a fiery, defensive mind with tons of energy. That should boost a defense that ranked 24th in the NFL last season. With all this in mind, will it be enough facing the Bills (one of the AFC’s best), Patriots (Belichick’s mind), and Dolphins (ten wins last year) twice? We should see improvements, but let’s not forget this is a team that won just two games last season.
KP’s Prediction: 4-13 | Confidence: Medium
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Who do you have hoisting the AFC East division crown? Chime in via the comments section below and as always, thank you for visiting The Wife Hates Sports!
Recap of all Teams/Divisions for the 2021 NFL Season
- AFC East Preview
- NFC East Preview
- AFC West Preview
- NFC West Preview
- AFC North Preview
- NFC North Preview
- AFC South Preview
- NFC South Preview
- NFL Top Ten Over/Under Win Total Bets
References: NFL.com Stats | OurLads Depth Charts
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SportsChump (REV) – Yeah, really the only thing that concerned me was glancing at their schedule… but still, the uncertainty from the other teams opens the door. There are some really strong teams in the AFC and I’m really curious to see how the season progresses.
At -150, which is what I’m showing, one would think there’s value on just loading up on the Bills to win this division. Every other team has what can essentially be considered a question mark at quarterback.