I guess staring at trees worked (see last week’s picks for the reference). Overall, I was a late Browns OT touchdown from landing a 5-0 week on here. I also cashed on a four-leg parlay in College Football (Penn State ML, Georgia -3.5, Iowa -2.5, and Oregon +7.5). Quite honestly, while the season long numbers don’t exactly show it, it’s been a pretty solid stretch. If you take away Week 4 and Week 5 (1-9, -$260), it looks a lot better. For the other seven weeks, my top five selections feature a record of 21-14 ($130). Sometimes putting the positive results in writing can help keep the motivation moving in the right direction. Let’s see what results our Week 10 Football Betting Picks bring us, shall we?

Yes, we shall – although, the FAA grounding of all planes (on Friday) certainly made me second guess what to take, considering so many schools had yet to travel (including Minnesota to Penn State – at least, not until Saturday morning). But, with everything lifted rather quickly, it appears that all College and NFL games will be played by the end of the weekend – and that at least, for now… the world is not ending.

But outside of sports, the chaos continues – and it’s certainly been a strange stretch.

By no means am I an agent of chaos – or an AI agent for that matter. I’m still writing here and no one (or thing) has taken over my words – or my picks, whether you like it or not.

Contest Reminder

This is a season long contest with potential prizes going out to our winners, so if you want to join in on the fun, drop a comment here or over at the land of the SportsChump.  We take our top five bets of the week against the spread (in both the NFL and College Football). If you beat us and go undefeated, that leads to fun prizes and/or heaps of praise on our websites.

With that said, here are our TOP FIVE picks for the week, including my Week 10 Football Betting Picks. The list is ranked in order of confidence, from 50 “dollars” down to $10.

Week 10 Football Betting Picks – Agent of Chaos Edition

KP’s Picks: The Wife Hates/Loves Sports

$50: Seattle Seahawks (-6.5) at Las Vegas Raiders

It’s the “Darkside” against the rookie! Seattle’s defense against Mendoza, now that Cousins has been traded to Minnesota. This isn’t a knock on Mendoza, but it’s a learning curve in the NFL. To get your first full start against Seattle’s defense? Well, that’s a tall order. Defensively, Seattle ranks first in the NFL in yards allowed (244.2 ypg). On the flip side, Las Vegas is dead last (385.4 ypg). Considering that, let’s look at Seattle’s top offensive weapon: Jaxon Smith-Njigba. In nine games this season, JSN has ten-plus targets and 100-plus receiving yards in seven of the nine games. SEVEN! So, that’s a Vegas team that ranks last in defense, while having a rookie QB running the offense. Seahawks cover on the road.

$40: San Francisco 49ers (-3.5) at Dallas Cowboys

This is a big NFC rivalry, sure, but the smell test reveals that these teams are headed in different directions. As long as Jerry Jones is running the show, the Cowboys will underachieve – and that’s just fine with me. Dallas can score in bunches, but you never know when it’s coming. Dallas’s last two weeks featured a loss at home to the hapless Cardinals and a narrow escape against the depleted Colts. In fact, the Cowboys have only faced two teams with winning records this season (both losses, to the Giants and Packers). Enter the 7-1 49ers, a team that acquired Keenan Allen and will have Deebo Samuel back from injury. Oh, and the 49ers rank 3rd in total defense and 6th in total offense. 49ers cover on the road.

$30: Wisconsin Badgers (-7.5) at Maryland Terrapins

On paper, the Terps have performed better since Mike Locksley was dismissed. That includes a win over Purdue (34-29) and a one-score loss to Illinois (20-17). Still, through nine games, Wisconsin has a top 20 run defense (101.0 ypg allowed – 18th) and a top 25 pass defense (185.2 ypg allowed, plus 7 INT and 7TD). On top of that, Maryland QB Malik Washington is questionable heading into the weekend. Maryland’s top corner (Jamare Glasker) is also questionable. That would obviously add a boost for Wisconsin in all phases. Overall, the Badgers are the better team. I’m not sure how they were impacted by the temporary FAA flight shutdown, but I still like the Badgers in this game. Badgers cover on the road.

$20: Buffalo Bills (-7.5) at New York Jets

When it comes to divisional rivalries, I look at the history first. Not only have the Bills have won five straight in the series, but Buffalo’s average margin of victory during that stretch is more than twenty points (160-58: 20.4 points). Sure, rosters and coaches differ, but the talent gap remains. Josh Allen (19 total TD’s) continues to be an absolute force, headlining Buffalo’s top-rated offense that averages 386.4 ypg. In comparison, the Jets rank in the bottom ten in total offense. At home or not, this will be a tall order for New York to hang through four quarters. Bills cover on the road.

$10: Minnesota Golden Gophers (+12.5) at Penn State Nittany Lions

The FAA grounding on Friday evening moved this line. The ban was lifted and the Gophers will travel early Saturday, with the game being held at night. An impact? Maybe. That’s why the game is at the bottom of the list. WR Koby Howard is out again for Penn State (could be out for the year). The Nittany Lions have been much better offensively over the last few weeks, albeit inconsistent. The second half of games have been stressful, including last week against Washington’s one-dimensional offense. As for Minnesota, the Golden Gophers rank 132nd in rushing offense (98.56 ypg) and 92nd in passing offense (209.0 ypg). But stats aside, P.J. Fleck and the Gophers are scrappy. Give me Minnesota and the points.

 

On the Outside Looking In (Others I Considered)

  • USC Trojans (+9.5) at Indiana Hoosiers – IU is 1-8 overall ATS this season
  • Ole Miss Rebels (+2.5) at Oklahoma Sooners – Kewan Lacy injury muddies the waters on this one
  • Utah Utes (-1.5) at Arizona Wildcats – When BYU rose to #2, they faltered the following week
  • Texas Longhorns (+5) at LSU Tigers – Kiffin similar to Franklin when facing top teams
  • New England Patriots at Detroit Lions (-2.5) – If you like offense, this game is for you
  • Los Angeles Rams at Arizona Cardinals (+9.5) – Top WR’s out for both teams; Who will LA throw to?
  • Los Angeles Chargers at Baltimore Ravens (-4.5) – Can Jacoby Brissett ignite offense vs. winless Chargers?

 

Week 10 Football Betting Picks: SportsChump

(Coming Soon)

Week 10 Football Betting Picks: Special Guest

(Coming Soon)

 

Last Week’s Recap: Kevin Paul

  • $50: Detroit Lions (-6.5) at Miami Dolphins – CORRECT
  • $40: Cleveland Browns at New Orleans Saints (-2.5) – INCORRECT
  • $30: Penn State Nittany Lions (+2.5) at Washington Huskies – CORRECT
  • $20: Michigan State Spartans (+14.5) at Michigan Wolverines – CORRECT
  • $10: Oregon Ducks (+8) at Ohio State Buckeyes – CORRECT

Season Stats for Kevin Paul at TWHS (Top Five Only)

  • NFL: 7-13 (-$190)
  • CFB: 15-10 ($60)
  • Overall: 18-22 (-$130)

Season Stats for Kevin Paul at TWHS (By Confidence)

  • $50: 4-5
  • $40: 4-5
  • $30: 3-6
  • $20: 5-4
  • $10: 6-3

Week-by-Week for Kevin Paul and TWHS (Top Five Only)

  • Week 01: NFL: 1-1 (-$20) | CFB 2-1 (-$10) | Week: 3-2 (-$30) | Overall: 3-2 (-$30)
  • Week 02: NFL: 0-2 (-$80) | CFB 2-1 ($30) | Week: 2-3 (-$50) | Overall: 5-5 (-$80)
  • Week 03: NFL: 1-1 ($30) | CFB 2-1 ($20) | Week: 3-2 ($50) | Overall: 8-7 (-$30)
  • Week 04: NFL: 0-2 (-$80) | CFB 1-2 (-$30) | Week: 1-4 (-$110) | Overall: 9-11 (-$140)
  • Week 05: NFL: 0-2 (-$30) | CFB 0-3 (-$120) | Week: 0-5 (-$150) | Overall: 9-16 (-$290)
  • Week 06: NFL: 1-2 (-$10) | CFB 2-0 ($60) | Week: 3-2 ($50) | Overall: 12-18 (-$240)
  • Week 07: NFL: 2-1 ($0) | CFB 1-1 ($10) | Week: 3-2 ($10) | Overall: 15-20 (-$230)
  • Week 08: NFL: 1-1 (-$10) | CFB 2-1 ($40) | Week: 3-2 ($30) | Overall: 18-22 (-$200)
  • Week 09: NFL: 1-1 ($10) | CFB 3-0 ($60) | Week: 4-1 ($70) | Overall: 22-23 (-$130)

 

Chime in with your top picks for the week. Thank you for visiting The Wife Hates/Loves Sports!

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