In a matter of days, disgruntled star WR Randy Moss went from playing on Monday Night Football, to a bye week, then to being traded to play with future Hall of Famer Brett Favre and now back to Monday Night Football again – this time sporting a Vikings jersey (for the second time) and taking on the New York Jets – and Darrelle Revis… also, again.
Again – on this front – it’s time to “Pick Your Knows”… the only time it’s not a disgusting habit.
Here’s the Week 5 schedule (spreads as they appear through CBSSports.com).
Last Week: 8-6
National Football League Week 5 Picks Against the Spread
Denver Broncos at Baltimore Ravens (-6.5)
Ray Rice is probable and may return to the starting lineup. Meanwhile, Denver still is dealing with injuries at the running back position – and faces a tough challenge against Baltimore on the road. Ravens cover.
KP’s Pick: Baltimore
Jacksonville Jaguars at Buffalo Bills (+1.5)
Maurice Jones-Drew was questionable mid-week, but did participate in practice Thursday. A healthy MJD will own the Bills’ defense, while also keeping Buffalo from attempting to move the ball through the air against a suspect Jaguars passing defense.
KP’s Pick: Jacksonville
Chicago Bears at Carolina Panthers (+2.5)
Jay Cutler has been ruled out due to a concussion and Todd Collins starts in his place. That’s a backup QB on the road that hasn’t had a start in 3 years and will be playing behind a line that gave up ten sacks last week. Take Carolina to get win number one at home.
KP’s Pick: Carolina
Tampa Bay Buccaneers at Cincinnati Bengals (-6.5)
The Bengals have arguably been the most inconsistent team this season, but playing at home against a young Bucs defense should be a major advantage for Ochocinco, T.O. and the boys. Take the Bengals to cover… but not by much.
KP’s Pick: Cincinnati
Atlanta Falcons at Cleveland Browns (+3.5)
The Falcons escaped with a win last week and the Browns pulled out an upset victory. The Dawg Pound will be loud, but I like Matt Ryan and the Atlanta offense to cover this line on the road.
KP’s Pick: Atlanta
St. Louis Rams at Detroit Lions (-3.5)
Sam Bradford has matured quickly and the Rams defense has been much improved this season, too. Because of St. Louis’ improvement in 2010, it’s hard to believe that the spread is over a field goal in favor of the Lions. Rams all the way.
KP’s Pick: St. Louis
New York Giants at Houston Texans (-3.5)
The Texans continue to be depleted with injuries at the wide receiver position. Meanwhile, the Giants come off a dominant performance against the Bears. Expect Eli Manning to put up big numbers against the Texans’ defense – and another shootout in Texas.
KP’s Pick: New York Giants
Kansas City Chiefs at Indianapolis Colts (-8.5)
The Chiefs will do the best they can to establish the run with Jones and Charles, hoping to keep Peyton and the Indy offense off the field. But the Colts are at home, and even after struggling against MJD and the Jags, I expect a big bounce back win at home for the Colts. Indy covers.
KP’s Pick: Indianapolis
Green Bay Packers at Washington Redskins (+2.5)
Clinton Portis is out 4 to 6 weeks with a groin injury, and Ryan Torain will start in his place. The RB change won’t change much, and expect this to be pass-heavy game, with the Packers taking advantage of a Redskins defense that has struggled against the pass.
KP’s Pick: Green Bay
New Orleans Saints at Arizona Cardinals (+6.5)
The Cardinals will start rookie and former BYU QB Max Hall, which should mean a day of growing pains against the Super Bowl champs. New Orleans covers easily on the road.
KP’s Pick: New Orleans
Tennessee Titans at Dallas Cowboys (-6.5)
The Cowboys come off a bye week rested and ready to take on a talented Titans team at home. Even with the time off and a big first win during Week 3, Vince Young, Chris Johnson and the Titans keep this one close throughout.
KP’s Pick: Tennessee
San Diego Chargers at Oakland Raiders (+6.5)
Tough call, as usually the Raiders tend to give the Chargers a fight, especially when playing at home. Still, the Mathews-Tolbert combination is picking up steam, which is opening up more opportunities for Phil Rivers and the passing game. San Diego covers on the road.
KP’s Pick: San Diego
Philadelphia Eagles at San Francisco 49ers (-3.5)
The Niners played better last week and blew a chance at a big first victory. On the other side, theEagles offense has struggled with Kevin Kolb under center. It’s a tricky line, but with their backs against the wall, Singletary and Co. cover at home against the Vick-less Eagles.
KP’s Pick: San Francisco
Minnesota Vikings at New York Jets (-4.5)
Brett Favre and the Vikings finally make a splash and get a number one receiver to help a struggling offense. With Randy Moss back in Minnesota, the Vikings should see enough of an offensive boost to make this game a tight battle on Monday night.
KP’s Pick: Minnesota
Bye Week: Miami, New England, Pittsburgh and Seattle